Tobey Maguire showed up to Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, and the person next to him was 20-year-old influencer Mishka Silva. He is 50. The photos made the rounds, the commentary followed, and here we are again, running the same conversation about age gaps in relationships that we run every 6 months when a famous man is seen with a younger woman. Neither Maguire nor Silva has confirmed anything romantic. But the public has already made up its mind, and the reaction has been predictable in both directions: some people are bothered, some people aren’t, and almost nobody is looking at what the data says about these pairings.

Maguire’s Dating History Since His Divorce

Maguire and jewelry designer Jennifer Meyer finalized their divorce in 2020 after 9 years of marriage. They share 2 children: Ruby, who is now 19, and Otis, who is 16. Since the split, Maguire has been linked to model Tatiana Dieteman, a relationship that reportedly ended in 2022. In 2024, he was seen with actress Lily Chee. Silva is the most recent name attached to him.

Each of these women has been younger than him by a noticeable margin. The gap has grown wider over time. This pattern is consistent with published findings on age preferences as people get older, which will come up later in this piece.

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What the Research Actually Says About Age Gaps in Couples

A 2022 Ipsos poll found 71% of Americans consider it acceptable for men to date someone 10 or more years younger, while 60% say the same for women. Banbury et al. (2025, Sexual and Relationship Therapy) found men dating women 7 or more years younger reported higher satisfaction, and women reported being equally satisfied with both older and younger partners. A Danish study by Drefahl (2010, Demography) found men with a wife 15 years younger had a 4% reduced mortality risk.

Gottfried et al. (2024, Personal Relationships) found that as people age, they increasingly prefer younger partners, with the effect stronger for men. A 2022 study across 130 countries found men are on average 4.2 years older than female partners, according to Ausubel et al. in Population Studies. The data on age differences in relationships points in a consistent direction: these pairings are common, and reported outcomes tend to be neutral or positive for both parties.

A 30-Year Gap Is Larger Than Average, But the Pattern Is Familiar

The global average age difference between male and female partners sits at about 4.2 years. A 30-year gap is far above that. But averages are averages, and they flatten out a wide distribution. Large age gaps are less common in raw numbers, yes, but they are not anomalies in the way public commentary tends to treat them.

According to the Gottfried et al. findings in Personal Relationships, older men show a growing preference for younger partners as they age. This trend accelerates rather than leveling off. A 50-year-old man preferring a partner in her 20s is consistent with that acceleration, even if it places him at the far end of the distribution.

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The question people tend to ask is about power imbalance and maturity. Those are reasonable considerations in any relationship. But the research cited above does not support the idea that these pairings produce measurably negative outcomes by default.

Women Date Younger Men Too, and the Data Is Interesting

Much of the public conversation focuses on older men with younger women. The reverse pairing receives less attention, though it also happens with some regularity.

The Banbury et al. study from 2025 found something worth noting on this front: women reported being equally satisfied with older and younger partners. The age of the partner did not have a measurable effect on their reported relationship satisfaction. For men, younger partners were associated with higher satisfaction scores, but for women, the direction of the gap didn’t seem to matter.

The Ipsos poll found that 60% of Americans consider it acceptable for women to date someone 10 or more years younger. That is lower than the 71% figure for men in the same scenario, but it still represents a majority. Public attitudes on this front are more permissive than the discourse often suggests.

Why the Reaction to Maguire Feels Predictable

Maguire is a recognizable figure from a specific era of film. His Spider-Man trilogy ran from 2002 to 2007. Silva was born around 2005 or 2006. That timeline produces a visceral reaction in people who grew up watching those films, and it makes the age gap feel more concrete than a number on a page.

But visceral reactions and data tell different stories. The research on age-gap relationships, pulled from large samples across dozens of countries, does not support the automatic assumption that these pairings are harmful. The Drefahl study out of Denmark even found a potential mortality benefit for men in relationships with a wide age gap, though the mechanisms behind that finding are still debated.

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None of this means every age-gap relationship works out. Plenty don’t. Plenty of same-age relationships don’t work out either. The point is that a 30-year gap between 2 adults, while unusual by average standards, falls within the bounds of what researchers have studied and found to be viable.

Confirmation Bias

People form opinions about these situations before any data enters the conversation. A photo at a football game between 2 people who haven’t confirmed a relationship is enough to produce thousands of words of commentary online. Most of that commentary recycles the same moral positions that were established before the research on this subject existed.

The findings are there for anyone who wants them. They are published, peer-reviewed, and drawn from large populations. They do not tell a simple story of right or wrong. They tell a boring, factual story about preferences, satisfaction, and outcomes. And boring factual stories tend to lose out to strong feelings, every time.